Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Idaho Vandals vs. Weber State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf09baaf8a6eddd25b78075bc07ea6203adbdb2ac93b71d368011674ea2cdcecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho Vandalsof Idaho Vandals, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Weber State Wildcats | 13c | 5,725$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.25 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Idaho Vandals | 80c | 4,579$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.23 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Idaho Vandals | 51c | 3,353$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.15 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Weber State Wildcats | 18c | 1,785$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Weber State Wildcats | 21c | 1,767$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.51 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 1,265$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 1,236$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 1,223$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.69 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 31c | 1,035$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Idaho Vandals | 51c | 793.15$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Weber State Wildcats | 12c | 650$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Idaho Vandals | 52c | 569$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.12 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 497$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 332.11$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Weber State Wildcats | 28c | 300.74$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…5f54backed Idaho Vandals | 71c | 281.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Weber State Wildcats | 25c | 237.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 229$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Idaho Vandals | 46c | 228$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…3351backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 224.69$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Weber State Wildcats | 23c | 217.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Idaho Vandals | 50c | 203.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Idaho Vandals | 60c | 197$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 11c | 163.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 158.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Weber State Wildcats | 24c | 109.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Weber State Wildcats | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals | 74c | 97.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Weber State Wildcats | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad0…cdc2backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…4f53backed Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 60.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Weber State Wildcats | 54c | 55.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Idaho Vandals | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 44.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Idaho Vandals | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Idaho Vandals | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Idaho Vandals | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Idaho Vandals | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Idaho Vandals vs. Weber State Wildcatsthis page
- Idaho Vandals vs. Weber State Wildcats: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Weber State Wildcats (-1.5)Idaho Vandals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.