Tennis · resolved market
Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dan Added
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0b1d9ab63092eedc1fb24c49e5ecb3e4b26a3ad8367afdfdd253d94cbdc5874
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guy Den Oudenof Guy Den Ouden, Dan Added
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dan Added | 17c | 5,638$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Dan Added | 17c | 4,314$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.24 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dan Added | 16c | 2,070$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 1,481$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dan Added | 21c | 1,408$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.57 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dan Added | 3c | 1,176$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Dan Added | 16c | 609.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dan Added | 17c | 508.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Dan Added | 16c | 463.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.22 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Dan Added | 18c | 409$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Dan Added | 22c | 346.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Dan Added | 16c | 301.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Guy Den Ouden | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 230$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dan Added | 17c | 212.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Dan Added | 15c | 187.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ad…dffebacked Dan Added | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Dan Added | 19c | 172.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dan Added | 20c | 149.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…dcb7backed Dan Added | 18c | 137.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Dan Added | 16c | 121.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dan Added | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dan Added | 15c | 107.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Dan Added | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Dan Added | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Dan Added | 14c | 92.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 88.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Dan Added | 17c | 83.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Dan Added | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Guy Den Ouden | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Guy Den Ouden | 67c | 47.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Dan Added | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Guy Den Ouden | 70c | 42.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 36.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Guy Den Ouden | 72c | 35.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Guy Den Ouden | 75c | 33.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…8437backed Guy Den Ouden | 76c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Guy Den Ouden | 74c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf961…9f3bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 16.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.