Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 2: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ada Kumru
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0bb1199d3d09a2f99345b33c839f1eb265ddf71970cad4b67426fab3eda0f9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moyuka Uchijimaof Moyuka Uchijima, Ada Kumru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ada Kumru | 7c | 17,730$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…09c4backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 17,389$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.03 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Ada Kumru | 7c | 14,114$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ada Kumru | 6c | 8,656$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ada Kumru | 3c | 4,194$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ada Kumru | 9c | 3,946$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ada Kumru | 7c | 3,159$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.46 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ada Kumru | 4c | 1,703$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Ada Kumru | 12c | 1,661$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Ada Kumru | 6c | 1,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 1,249$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ada Kumru | 7c | 1,211$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 1,100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 999.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Ada Kumru | 3c | 897.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Ada Kumru | 7c | 846.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7ad1backed Ada Kumru | 7c | 779.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Ada Kumru | 8c | 760.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Ada Kumru | 5c | 747.04$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Ada Kumru | 4c | 736.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Ada Kumru | 6c | 726.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ada Kumru | 7c | 702.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Ada Kumru | 5c | 599.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Ada Kumru | 4c | 569.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…b0b5backed Ada Kumru | 18c | 549.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Ada Kumru | 14c | 543.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Ada Kumru | 4c | 515$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Ada Kumru | 4c | 460.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Ada Kumru | 8c | 443.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ada Kumru | 9c | 413.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 408.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Ada Kumru | 11c | 404.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…f50ebacked Ada Kumru | 7c | 388.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…2337backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 336.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…826dbacked Ada Kumru | 7c | 280.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ada Kumru | 6c | 228.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ada Kumru | 6c | 214.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Ada Kumru | 5c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ada Kumru | 14c | 203$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bee…444fbacked Ada Kumru | 10c | 200.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Ada Kumru | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ada Kumru | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Moyuka Uchijima | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Moyuka Uchijima | 34c | 80.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +18.4wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ada Kumru | 14c | 75.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Moyuka Uchijima | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Moyuka Uchijima | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.