Lol · resolved market
LoL: LOUD vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0cc631a00be35d5bd30728c44fd23955a0624f7558b937e0cb9fb938f03ba39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fluxo W7Mof LOUD, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LOUD | 12c | 2,801$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fluxo W7M | 44c | 2,169$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.87 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed LOUD | 60c | 1,931$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.54 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LOUD | 26c | 1,789$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 1,148$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.99 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Fluxo W7M | 47c | 969.78$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.42 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…7acabacked Fluxo W7M | 48c | 829.17$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Fluxo W7M | 70c | 815.11$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 1,540 | 62.6%964 W · 576 L | +158.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed LOUD | 68c | 805.7$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.78 | 429 | 40.1%172 W · 257 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed LOUD | 70c | 804.29$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 485 | 53.4%259 W · 226 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Fluxo W7M | 41c | 729.48$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.48 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LOUD | 14c | 618.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 512.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LOUD | 7c | 452$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Fluxo W7M | 32c | 448.55$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fluxo W7M | 33c | 448.3$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.17 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed LOUD | 64c | 407.99$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 380.03$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed LOUD | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked LOUD | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed LOUD | 55c | 286.45$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.55 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…c44ebacked LOUD | 23c | 263.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked LOUD | 46c | 248.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…2d03backed LOUD | 64c | 222.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked LOUD | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked LOUD | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Fluxo W7M | 50c | 199.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Fluxo W7M | 50c | 179.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,267 | 37.7%478 W · 789 L | +35.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed LOUD | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed Fluxo W7M | 45c | 133.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.62 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed LOUD | 40c | 133.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed LOUD | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LOUD | 29c | 107.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LOUD | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Fluxo W7M | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Fluxo W7M | 33c | 95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked LOUD | 29c | 87.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Fluxo W7M | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed LOUD | 70c | 65.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Fluxo W7M | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked LOUD | 32c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed LOUD | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Fluxo W7M | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked LOUD | 43c | 53.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fluxo W7M | 36c | 49.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 46.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Fluxo W7M | 60c | 45.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed LOUD | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed LOUD | 67c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…a122backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Fluxo W7M | 36c | 33.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ec…0073backed LOUD | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked LOUD | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,050 | 46.1%484 W · 566 L | -43.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fluxo W7M | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked LOUD | 51c | 25.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Fluxo W7M | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…b9f2backed LOUD | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed LOUD | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fluxo W7M | 45c | 22.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed LOUD | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…874abacked LOUD | 63c | 18.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked LOUD | 70c | 18.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed LOUD | 68c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.