Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf117a98fd9f42bd11cff6f68bea165d01322b12fbee7f51437fa195218fbb3b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 16c | 1,590$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.23 | 1,062 | 36.3%386 W · 676 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 1,587$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.67 | 799 | 35.3%282 W · 517 L | -36.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 1,526$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.03 | 2,101 | 43.6%917 W · 1,184 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 367 | 44.4%163 W · 204 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 18c | 962.59$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 357 | 46.8%167 W · 190 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a98…ef19backed Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 19c | 434.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.54 | 292 | 38%111 W · 181 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5da…625abacked Yes | 19c | 376.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 6c | 360$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +94%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 13c | 252$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 190.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 358 | 32.7%117 W · 241 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 159.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 973 | 32.2%313 W · 660 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Yes | 19c | 154.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 18c | 113$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 15c | 90.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 286 | 36.4%104 W · 182 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 13c | 82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742a…fa07backed Yes | 19c | 66.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 59.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 178 | 60.1%107 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.