South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf12b6d7fca8dd61508c8f50324ca623281c7c667fc0a6035255c3333859db464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 47c | 12,864$6,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.98 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 10,139$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 58c | 1,210$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 1,123$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Under | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 41c | 400.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.06 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 385.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 42c | 330.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 56c | 290.24$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 60c | 256.75$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 138.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…e958backed Under | 49c | 97.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 97.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 70c | 93.39$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 88.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 47c | 81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 76.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 55c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 60c | 50.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…b8d3backed Under | 51c | 45.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Under | 46c | 44.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 51c | 40.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 38.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…c56dbacked Over | 56c | 37.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 35.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 55c | 33.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 35c | 32.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed Under | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…88c4backed Over | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…ae82backed Under | 48c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Monterrey (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)CF Monterrey won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)CF Monterrey won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.