Lol · resolved market
LoL: GLORE vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1a9f27e668f36f3e35a5aed927b744945b35004478019d01668da96654e6ca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orbit Anonymoof GLORE, Orbit Anonymo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed GLORE | 4c | 1,402$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked GLORE | 6c | 1,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Orbit Anonymo | 2c | 642.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Orbit Anonymo | 69c | 598.46$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked GLORE | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed GLORE | 10c | 293$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 58c | 276$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed GLORE | 9c | 268$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed GLORE | 15c | 266$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 342 | 35.7%122 W · 220 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked GLORE | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed GLORE | 46c | 218.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked GLORE | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed GLORE | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +149.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed GLORE | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed GLORE | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed GLORE | 12c | 135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Orbit Anonymo | 74c | 119.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed GLORE | 57c | 116.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GLORE | 17c | 114.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GLORE | 22c | 113.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GLORE | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed GLORE | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed GLORE | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked GLORE | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed GLORE | 23c | 95.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked GLORE | 38c | 54.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed GLORE | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked GLORE | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 60c | 18.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GLORE vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: AE (-1.5) vs GLORE (+1.5)Orbit Anonymo won
- LoL: GLORE vs Orbit Anonymo (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonOrbit Anonymo won
- LoL: GLORE vs Orbit Anonymo - Game 1 WinnerOrbit Anonymo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.