CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d196aa5048e421c06b63cd28a94b012ce7b77a0848abbd6a3d3bbb085cd1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,673 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3502…e42cbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 1,476$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Acend | 44c | 1,403$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Acend | 51c | 1,395$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 49c | 1,364$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 1,336$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed MOUZ NXT | 80c | 1,277$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Acend | 48c | 1,274$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 1,271$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.19 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Acend | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 950.4$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.22 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Acend | 27c | 946.56$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.7 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Acend | 22c | 899.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Acend | 50c | 893.88$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Acend | 44c | 882.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.71 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 877.12$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.5 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 644.16$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.29 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Acend | 50c | 599.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 73c | 520.2$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 376.66$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 40c | 329.56$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Acend | 51c | 315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked MOUZ NXT | 78c | 269.26$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 267.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 54c | 192.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…4663backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 176.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Acend | 13c | 170.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Acend | 18c | 155.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 148$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Acend | 39c | 139$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed MOUZ NXT | 80c | 137.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Acend | 46c | 132.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Acend | 14c | 125$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked MOUZ NXT | 63c | 108.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.64 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Acend | 24c | 99.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 121 | 58.7%71 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Acend | 43c | 92.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Acend | 39c | 82.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Acend | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Acend | 38c | 76.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Acend | 39c | 76.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Acend | 51c | 70.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Acend | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Acend | 34c | 59.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Acend | 21c | 56.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 55c | 56.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Acend | 23c | 55.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e97…0bd0backed Acend | 50c | 54.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Acend | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Acend | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Acend | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…baacbacked MOUZ NXT | 71c | 48.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…2d57backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ac…849abacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 38.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f10…ed42backed MOUZ NXT | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Acend | 37c | 35.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5978…aec4backed Acend | 36c | 33.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 229 | 38%87 W · 142 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Acend | 37c | 31.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…1559backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…7992backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 29.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…0abdbacked Acend | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Acend | 48c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Acend | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked MOUZ NXT | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Acend | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed MOUZ NXT | 77c | 19.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Acend - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.