CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: LEO vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24661bd95ddd77f935a6fc782cefcab2723ebee16a5969a7ec330ab318e0faf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof LEO, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed LEO | 29c | 887.27$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LEO | 24c | 744.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked LEO | 17c | 730.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.16 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 541$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed LEO | 36c | 509.1$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LEO | 24c | 457.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 456$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 377.21$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 72c | 347.94$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 340.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.43 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…76c6backed LEO | 30c | 333.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed LEO | 25c | 323.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 314$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…284ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 289.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.82 | 58 | 82.8%48 W · 10 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed LEO | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 45.2%84 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LEO | 13c | 241.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 194.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 187.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed LEO | 14c | 184$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 144.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked LEO | 33c | 139$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed LEO | 21c | 123.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked LEO | 11c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 98.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked LEO | 23c | 85.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c312backed LEO | 36c | 77.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked LEO | 26c | 69.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-MANA eSports | 79c | 66.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…b948backed LEO | 33c | 66.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LEO | 21c | 65.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 56.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked LEO | 32c | 55.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed LEO | 23c | 54.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked LEO | 36c | 52.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b0…1d6bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked LEO | 32c | 47.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed LEO | 34c | 45.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed LEO | 27c | 40.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 24.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ex-MANA eSports | 78c | 19.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 163 | 63.2%103 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 68c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…bbfbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: LEO vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerex-MANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.