Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Franco Ribero vs Pavel Kotov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf299f1ed5684a2e1e7aa40001dfb4289c138c348590caa74400e609ff4086178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavel Kotovof Franco Ribero, Pavel Kotov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Franco Ribero | 33c | 5,652$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Franco Ribero | 36c | 5,455$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.33 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pavel Kotov | 66c | 4,329$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.51 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pavel Kotov | 59c | 1,989$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.41 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Franco Ribero | 15c | 1,929$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Pavel Kotov | 77c | 1,232$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.94 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Franco Ribero | 19c | 1,111$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.49 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pavel Kotov | 75c | 979.11$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Pavel Kotov | 63c | 821.3$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.88 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pavel Kotov | 72c | 803$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pavel Kotov | 78c | 799.36$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.45 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Franco Ribero | 7c | 732.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Franco Ribero | 15c | 465.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Ribero | 22c | 336.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Pavel Kotov | 78c | 323.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Franco Ribero | 16c | 314.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Franco Ribero | 40c | 310.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Franco Ribero | 41c | 264.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pavel Kotov | 72c | 253.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Franco Ribero | 24c | 236.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Franco Ribero | 18c | 216.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Franco Ribero | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pavel Kotov | 66c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Franco Ribero | 22c | 140.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pavel Kotov | 59c | 139.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Franco Ribero | 14c | 134.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Ribero | 15c | 133.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franco Ribero | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Franco Ribero | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pavel Kotov | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Franco Ribero | 30c | 98.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…756bbacked Franco Ribero | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Franco Ribero | 14c | 84.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 80.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Franco Ribero | 21c | 76.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pavel Kotov | 79c | 73.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Franco Ribero | 26c | 64.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pavel Kotov | 74c | 58.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pavel Kotov | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Pavel Kotov | 68c | 48.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Franco Ribero | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Pavel Kotov | 68c | 45.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pavel Kotov | 65c | 45.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Pavel Kotov | 72c | 38.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…bb0ebacked Franco Ribero | 42c | 38.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…a2c6backed Pavel Kotov | 59c | 37.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pavel Kotov | 68c | 35.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pavel Kotov | 68c | 23.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 857 | 42.8%367 W · 490 L | -23.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Pavel Kotov | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Pavel Kotov | 68c | 15.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Pavel Kotov | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.