South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b8b82df431068392bc00aacaeee0495eadc2613bc40ffff02d681475562db2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,955$3,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.51 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 2,930$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.29 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 2,289$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 28c | 1,367$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.72 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 25c | 1,300$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 1,207$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.97 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 434.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 433.24$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 21c | 365.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 352.13$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.73 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Yes | 20c | 337.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 20c | 319.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 272.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 269$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 17c | 261.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 254.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 26c | 215.01$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bda…04febacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…7c90backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 72c | 180.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 159.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Yes | 29c | 139.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…3efebacked No | 72c | 136.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 80c | 101.58$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 96.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 95.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 88.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 75c | 83.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 83.22$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Yes | 27c | 82.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 21c | 80.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 75c | 76.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 76.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 65.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…adb6backed Yes | 22c | 57.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 56.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 80c | 49.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 24c | 46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 41.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 27c | 38.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 76c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-04-10?No won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.