Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Jiaqi Wang vs Meiqi Guo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2e44723e160eb4c6e04152ec8d56eedc10d0acad2c921c3f30997111ba082ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Meiqi Guoof Jiaqi Wang, Meiqi Guo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Meiqi Guo | 58c | 1,655$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.02 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jiaqi Wang | 45c | 1,342$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.43 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 41c | 1,225$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.21 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Meiqi Guo | 50c | 632.5$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Meiqi Guo | 47c | 511.36$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Meiqi Guo | 33c | 436.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.35 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jiaqi Wang | 44c | 371.8$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Meiqi Guo | 69c | 370.91$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Jiaqi Wang | 67c | 317$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jiaqi Wang | 20c | 301.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Jiaqi Wang | 69c | 218.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Meiqi Guo | 59c | 190.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Meiqi Guo | 59c | 149.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Jiaqi Wang | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jiaqi Wang | 31c | 134.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jiaqi Wang | 28c | 123.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Meiqi Guo | 33c | 116.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Meiqi Guo | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jiaqi Wang | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Meiqi Guo | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Meiqi Guo | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Meiqi Guo | 69c | 70.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Meiqi Guo | 36c | 69.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Meiqi Guo | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jiaqi Wang | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Meiqi Guo | 61c | 46.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Jiaqi Wang | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Jiaqi Wang | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jiaqi Wang | 47c | 44.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Meiqi Guo | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Meiqi Guo | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Jiaqi Wang | 64c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Meiqi Guo | 72c | 39.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Jiaqi Wang | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Meiqi Guo | 47c | 33.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jiaqi Wang | 64c | 30.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Meiqi Guo | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Meiqi Guo | 78c | 22.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Meiqi Guo | 72c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.