Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Brazil?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf312552f9902ba47639c0d77273c30db72a9876c66a61a9590918eaa54f0120d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 1c | 29,697$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 15,128$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 10,507$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 8c | 7,995$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 8c | 5,068$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.41 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Yes | 9c | 4,895$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 2,872$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.29 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 2,275$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 9c | 2,142$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,112$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,504$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…1578backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 9c | 1,142$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 6c | 1,098$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 9c | 1,089$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…cd34backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 7c | 999.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 19.7%41 W · 167 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4830…f86bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 9c | 544.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 8c | 499.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 6c | 496.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb587…28eebacked Yes | 8c | 437.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…340ebacked Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 317.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 5c | 316.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 314.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 5c | 309.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…31b3backed Yes | 9c | 244.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…df66backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…5041backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 38.2%102 W · 165 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…8181backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…aa04backed Yes | 9c | 163.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 9c | 163$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…4d0dbacked Yes | 8c | 160.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…d771backed Yes | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…e9abbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa286…b3babacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499a…a047backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…1577backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc1…1178backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 1 Brazil?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 0 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?Yes won
- Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 0 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 0 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 1 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 2 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 2 - 3 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 0 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 1 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 2 Brazil?No won
- Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Brazil?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.