La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36675d85b15d8b199710c3b9f79de782f3bec869a43e7fc8e47723454edcc1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 6,013$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,305$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 2,741$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 2,402$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,914$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.78 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 1,599$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 1,507$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.37 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,474$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89d…1f9cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,357$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Yes | 5c | 558.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Yes | 7c | 479$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 6c | 190.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 23c | 133.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 12c | 123.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 22c | 86.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 79.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 57.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 79c | 29.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…54aebacked No | 78c | 18.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 17.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 76c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 77c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.