South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3684b16c445447cd65c660c6f82ac811b49e63440a0aa6c35ba7817a9874d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 32c | 16,394$5,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,296.53 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 12,962$9,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,144.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 12,615$8,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,728.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 35c | 9,843$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.56 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 5,554$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.53 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 29c | 4,905$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.79 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 62c | 1,597$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.72 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 38c | 864.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.33 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 803.43$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.01 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 16c | 463.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 23c | 261.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 230$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.3 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 61c | 222$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…6f23backed Yes | 37c | 175.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 125.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 17c | 96.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 67c | 92.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 65c | 76.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 76.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 69.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 65c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 65.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 47.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 70c | 35.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 70c | 34.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed No | 64c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Yes | 63c | 22.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 51c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 64c | 18.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed No | 64c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 61c | 16.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…f300backed No | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked No | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +169.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will CA Huracán win on 2026-01-31?No won
- Will CA Tucumán vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.