Tennis · resolved market
Kingston 2: Max Purcell vs Andres Andrade
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3837a35255352c96dabcad1751823ea7541eb506554c7145d03237ffdc4fc95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Andradeof Max Purcell, Andres Andrade
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andres Andrade | 69c | 7,420$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.61 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Max Purcell | 35c | 6,087$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.54 | 324 | 51.5%167 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Max Purcell | 15c | 4,921$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.69 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…d758backed Max Purcell | 33c | 2,793$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.87 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Max Purcell | 51c | 2,120$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.2 | 2,781 | 53.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L | +71.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Max Purcell | 6c | 2,000$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Max Purcell | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Andres Andrade | 73c | 1,600$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.04 | 764 | 55%420 W · 344 L | +48.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Max Purcell | 3c | 1,229$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Max Purcell | 10c | 1,197$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Max Purcell | 13c | 1,197$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1,564 | 24%376 W · 1,188 L | -43.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Andrade | 70c | 1,170$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Purcell | 29c | 1,148$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…6e69backed Max Purcell | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andres Andrade | 64c | 834.7$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.67 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Purcell | 12c | 624.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 530$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.8 | 1,424 | 42.8%610 W · 814 L | -32.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…aceebacked Max Purcell | 59c | 513$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Andres Andrade | 74c | 496.87$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 2,859 | 47.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L | +37.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Purcell | 69c | 476$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Andres Andrade | 61c | 470$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.3 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Max Purcell | 8c | 272.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 328 | 31.7%104 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Max Purcell | 44c | 217.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 594 | 40.7%242 W · 352 L | -24.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Max Purcell | 23c | 190.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Max Purcell | 67c | 149.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 490 | 58%284 W · 206 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Max Purcell | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 248 | 38.3%95 W · 153 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 129.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 1,058 | 40.9%433 W · 625 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andres Andrade | 32c | 126.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.12 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Max Purcell | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Max Purcell | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 385 | 54.5%210 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Max Purcell | 46c | 87.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1,800 | 47.2%849 W · 951 L | -45.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…eab6backed Andres Andrade | 72c | 77.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Andres Andrade | 63c | 77.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 304 | 49%149 W · 155 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Max Purcell | 69c | 60.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 868 | 50.2%436 W · 432 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andres Andrade | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…8c27backed Max Purcell | 46c | 56.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Andres Andrade | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 493 | 52.5%259 W · 234 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andres Andrade | 33c | 41.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Andres Andrade | 80c | 40.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,079 | 54.9%592 W · 487 L | +14.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Max Purcell | 63c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Max Purcell | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Andres Andrade | 45c | 29.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 609 | 46%280 W · 329 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Max Purcell | 59c | 28.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,073 | 57.6%618 W · 455 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Max Purcell | 66c | 23.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 159 | 69.8%111 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Andres Andrade | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Andres Andrade | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 913 | 34.2%312 W · 601 L | -44.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.