Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Chengyiyi Yuan vs JiaYi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41c1b43b0b93b8e22d844bdf47bab3caacb471f6595e2a7a63967ec3f053b0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chengyiyi Yuanof Chengyiyi Yuan, JiaYi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked JiaYi Wang | 43c | 6,456$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 64c | 2,115$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.2 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 55c | 1,815$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.84 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…dcc2backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 53c | 984.52$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 60c | 783.38$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 62c | 351.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 49c | 311.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.53 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 53c | 256$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.47 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 39c | 255.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked JiaYi Wang | 71c | 184.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 29c | 184.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 61c | 96.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 73c | 94.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 67c | 92.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 39c | 89.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 53c | 53.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked JiaYi Wang | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 48c | 36.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed JiaYi Wang | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chengyiyi Yuan | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed JiaYi Wang | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Chengyiyi Yuan | 54c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.