Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf43167c77957a359670a2187f1ad10facb185fb2dfbe64e346233b23092676d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof Beşiktaş Esports, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 48c | 452.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 378.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.92 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked CGN Esports | 54c | 350.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked CGN Esports | 51c | 307$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 12c | 279.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed CGN Esports | 53c | 278.92$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 54c | 277.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 248$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.13 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed CGN Esports | 46c | 234.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beşiktaş Esports | 44c | 211.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CGN Esports | 53c | 186.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed CGN Esports | 50c | 182.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Beşiktaş Esports | 23c | 156.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Beşiktaş Esports | 45c | 150.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 44c | 142.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 409 | 55%225 W · 184 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 128.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 42.9%112 W · 149 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed CGN Esports | 67c | 109.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed CGN Esports | 54c | 106.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed CGN Esports | 54c | 98.19$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 824 | 35%288 W · 536 L | -61.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Beşiktaş Esports | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CGN Esports | 48c | 79.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 974 | 45.1%439 W · 535 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CGN Esports | 47c | 67.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 853 | 38%324 W · 529 L | -52.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed CGN Esports | 45c | 65.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 658 | 47.3%311 W · 347 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Beşiktaş Esports | 58c | 62.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed CGN Esports | 45c | 49.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 474 | 46.8%222 W · 252 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CGN Esports | 69c | 45.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 943 | 49.5%467 W · 476 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Beşiktaş Esports | 65c | 43.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked CGN Esports | 70c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Beşiktaş Esports | 43c | 35.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Beşiktaş Esports | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Beşiktaş Esports | 44c | 31.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked CGN Esports | 53c | 26.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Beşiktaş Esports | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Beşiktaş Esports | 46c | 23.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed CGN Esports | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Beşiktaş Esports | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Last Chance Qualifier Group Bthis page
- Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerBeşiktaş Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.