Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf44fa52b0b07dde56d214000e895ecef43a8236df859a425d3ed16a58eb8fe54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 40c | 20,882$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,340.29 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Yes | 63c | 6,902$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 6,742$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.9 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 6,229$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.89 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 4,588$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.79 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 993.49$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 41c | 821$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 748.2$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 696.35$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.71 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 39c | 470$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 59c | 314.1$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 303.27$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.79 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…9d8bbacked Yes | 40c | 250.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 58c | 238.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 39c | 204$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 133.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 44c | 119.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 50c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…286dbacked Yes | 41c | 114.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 112.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 19c | 105.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…fc0abacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 43c | 92.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Yes | 24c | 84.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 73c | 79.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…ba1bbacked Yes | 38c | 77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 32c | 75.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffee…5546backed Yes | 38c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 60c | 69.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 18c | 68.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 33c | 62.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…f096backed Yes | 38c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f1…390abacked Yes | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 62c | 43.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6e…6c73backed Yes | 28c | 39.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 58c | 37.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 36.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Yes | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…bcabbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 41c | 29.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…e762backed Yes | 62c | 23.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 22.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 50c | 20.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…b038backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 59c | 17.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.