Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd9a15f34f89943d616677fccd2e99472a8988f26d8938b05980fc9438e989a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,642$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,643$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.28 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 1,558$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.8 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 1,432$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.54 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 32c | 1,300$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 30c | 1,299$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 2c | 975.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 14c | 849.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.57 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 629.89$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 16c | 612.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 30c | 521$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.11 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 24c | 465.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 22c | 430.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 412.18$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 63c | 392.62$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 65c | 285.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 30c | 226.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 32c | 210.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 30c | 198.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 27c | 187.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 13c | 181$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 69c | 180$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 149.23$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 17c | 131.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed No | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 15c | 117.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…fc0abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 96.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 32c | 96.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 69c | 94.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Yes | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 14c | 85.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 33c | 81.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 13c | 79.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…2052backed Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 70.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd327…7606backed Yes | 16c | 69.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7724…e396backed Yes | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…bcabbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…f729backed Yes | 37c | 63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 37c | 61.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…4cefbacked Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked No | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 21c | 53.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 50.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 32c | 46.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 34c | 40.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 34c | 37.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed No | 75c | 33.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 36c | 30.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 75c | 29.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 70c | 23.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 64c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed No | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.