Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0176290af577f25fa8468782b8399dc112cf3da6dc7e221563f2e15914b5cc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 3,207$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 62c | 3,013$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.61 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 27c | 2,328$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 7c | 1,136$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 79c | 1,046$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.39 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 6c | 770.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f2…f62cbacked Yes | 57c | 749.61$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 673.95$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 665$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.45 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 627.66$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.59 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 34c | 603.54$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.34 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked No | 44c | 479.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 11c | 476.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 6c | 370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 357.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.23 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 315.78$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.36 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 48c | 296$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…ef18backed Yes | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Yes | 27c | 188.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 27c | 174$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 17c | 144.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 73c | 137.71$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 45c | 132.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 25c | 129.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 30c | 121.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 76c | 115$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 34c | 109.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 103.04$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 17c | 90.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…a570backed Yes | 28c | 83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b2…6891backed Yes | 28c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 75.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 74c | 74.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…3656backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 74c | 67.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed No | 25c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 28c | 42.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 72c | 40.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 74c | 31.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…a7debacked Yes | 77c | 29.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 73c | 26.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…3e5dbacked Yes | 75c | 23.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…ae41backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…10a3backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.