Euroleague · resolved market
Fenerbahce vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf49c96c0192bc4c1b3b7a56d0e1a5b1ee0bbd92667e001fcd628107196503561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fenerbahceof Fenerbahce, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 11,146$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.6 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Valencia | 34c | 8,851$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…b2d7backed Valencia | 34c | 5,115$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 3,258$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Valencia | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Valencia | 19c | 2,270$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 2,168$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.18 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Valencia | 31c | 1,647$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valencia | 28c | 1,572$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.53 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Valencia | 17c | 1,512$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 1,509$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Valencia | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Fenerbahce | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.86 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Fenerbahce | 70c | 1,430$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Fenerbahce | 67c | 1,093$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia | 12c | 1,080$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.29 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Fenerbahce | 78c | 799.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fenerbahce | 76c | 696.16$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Valencia | 30c | 659$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia | 30c | 644.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fenerbahce | 65c | 639.89$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 590$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valencia | 16c | 511.07$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Valencia | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…5378backed Fenerbahce | 69c | 434.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Fenerbahce | 67c | 402.81$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Fenerbahce | 77c | 325.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Valencia | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Valencia | 27c | 308.82$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Fenerbahce | 73c | 308.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Valencia | 35c | 282.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Valencia | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia | 33c | 243.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 226.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 185$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Fenerbahce | 70c | 170.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Valencia | 28c | 157$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Valencia | 27c | 118.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Valencia | 33c | 117.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Valencia | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Valencia | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Valencia | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…b94abacked Valencia | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Valencia | 13c | 91.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Valencia | 34c | 88.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Valencia | 30c | 83.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…51b9backed Valencia | 34c | 72.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Valencia | 33c | 70.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Valencia | 17c | 62.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Valencia | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Fenerbahce | 69c | 57.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Valencia | 32c | 53.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Valencia | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Fenerbahce | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -8.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Valencia | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Valencia | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Valencia | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Valencia | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa854…6e4fbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 39.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Fenerbahce | 71c | 39.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Valencia | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Fenerbahce | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Valencia | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…3ec1backed Fenerbahce | 66c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Fenerbahce | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Fenerbahce | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Fenerbahce | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Fenerbahce | 69c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.