Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4bc50694cee8ecb1c907183ac8d1592764c077ea9181773947b9ead5fdf3a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana State Sycamoresof Illinois State Redbirds, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Indiana State Sycamores | 59c | 3,882$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…5314backed Illinois State Redbirds | 40c | 2,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 56c | 1,894$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Indiana State Sycamores | 60c | 1,404$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.72 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Illinois State Redbirds | 36c | 572.01$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.26 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Illinois State Redbirds | 43c | 535$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 31c | 516.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 432.19$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Indiana State Sycamores | 78c | 247$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 41c | 227.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Illinois State Redbirds | 24c | 209.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Illinois State Redbirds | 27c | 208$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Illinois State Redbirds | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 34c | 119.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 68c | 108$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 26c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Illinois State Redbirds | 67c | 93.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 89.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 88.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Illinois State Redbirds | 71c | 85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Illinois State Redbirds | 71c | 79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois State Redbirds | 69c | 56.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…aeb0backed Indiana State Sycamores | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Indiana State Sycamores | 67c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Illinois State Redbirds | 36c | 39.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b470backed Indiana State Sycamores | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2d…8602backed Indiana State Sycamores | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Illinois State Redbirds | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Indiana State Sycamoresthis page
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 146.5Over won
- Illinois State Redbirds vs. Indiana State Sycamores: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.