Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4bdcfc89d7d787a1ffafd9eca633b55f4e19717a485c9e55d536149e3fef0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 18c | 2,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 39c | 999.89$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 623.32$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.07 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 403.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 35c | 285.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 60c | 174.36$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 174.15$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 60c | 106.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 102.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.98 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 60c | 81.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 30c | 60.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 61c | 41.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 61c | 41.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 61c | 41.49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 34.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc20…96c3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.