Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hampton Pirates vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4dc4f17d25b1c6feaf285ca64b0924efcee4f4131fd0b02f92669a7345f50fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stony Brook Seawolvesof Hampton Pirates, Stony Brook Seawolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 65c | 1,268$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.72 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 68c | 1,111$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hampton Pirates | 32c | 957.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.43 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hampton Pirates | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Hampton Pirates | 15c | 750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 76c | 718.54$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hampton Pirates | 9c | 629.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Hampton Pirates | 36c | 389.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 66c | 358.54$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Hampton Pirates | 33c | 331.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hampton Pirates | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Hampton Pirates | 32c | 311$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hampton Pirates | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hampton Pirates | 33c | 299.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Hampton Pirates | 35c | 257.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Hampton Pirates | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Hampton Pirates | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 66c | 197.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Hampton Pirates | 36c | 185.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 65c | 161.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hampton Pirates | 37c | 153.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hampton Pirates | 34c | 139.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 67c | 121.79$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Hampton Pirates | 34c | 111.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 71c | 105.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 72c | 91.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Hampton Pirates | 20c | 73.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Hampton Pirates | 34c | 59.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Hampton Pirates | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 73c | 22.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 66c | 21.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.