CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HAVU (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4f75da0f775a4597386806b3dc414c8d84757dc5592e1270e64d27ff75b4283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed KOLESIE | 56c | 5,500$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.8 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed HAVU | 38c | 1,435$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU | 42c | 1,260$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed KOLESIE | 55c | 1,150$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.42 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed KOLESIE | 60c | 998.97$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.59 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 43c | 791.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.46 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked HAVU | 35c | 723.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 67c | 675.28$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed HAVU | 43c | 619.47$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HAVU | 41c | 532.55$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.2 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 41c | 501$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.45 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HAVU | 43c | 438$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 67c | 420.8$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed HAVU | 42c | 391.19$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed HAVU | 39c | 358$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.52 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed HAVU | 31c | 324.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 44c | 312.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…e5a8backed HAVU | 10c | 246.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HAVU | 33c | 220$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HAVU | 57c | 205$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.85 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HAVU | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 46c | 191.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 25c | 188$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HAVU | 33c | 185.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 38c | 169.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked HAVU | 43c | 158$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed KOLESIE | 67c | 149.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked HAVU | 39c | 125.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed HAVU | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed HAVU | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed HAVU | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed HAVU | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed HAVU | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed KOLESIE | 60c | 86.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HAVU | 24c | 85.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked HAVU | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HAVU | 15c | 74.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed HAVU | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed KOLESIE | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE | 70c | 64.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 59c | 56.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked HAVU | 54c | 47.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked HAVU | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked HAVU | 40c | 35.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed HAVU | 33c | 31.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KOLESIE | 48c | 31.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.