CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4fbecb63985bcaa25ff27007a5a357b5692f0b19baccc9eff8e6f785ba83124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 79c | 6,857$5,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.06 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Sharks | 17c | 2,589$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.37 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Sharks | 21c | 1,616$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.05 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Sharks | 21c | 1,151$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.45 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 17c | 814.22$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3072…4ca9backed Sharks | 10c | 599.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sharks | 26c | 505.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Sharks | 10c | 480.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sharks | 16c | 474.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Sharks | 3c | 461.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Sharks | 14c | 387.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sharks | 20c | 378.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharks | 25c | 351$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.79 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sharks | 8c | 266.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 14c | 165.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Sharks | 10c | 141.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Sharks | 14c | 115.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed NIP | 77c | 100.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sharks | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Sharks | 20c | 94.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Sharks | 14c | 86.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed NIP | 78c | 54.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked NIP | 61c | 47.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.