CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x656c1abf5cb10a04389e75eccea2de345f4537bd0cbaf5f8ccf5a357acdc105b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof NIP, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7193…ae51backed NIP | 67c | 2,601$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.39 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NIP | 79c | 2,200$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.86 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 74c | 1,907$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.43 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks | 15c | 1,520$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.51 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Sharks | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Sharks | 29c | 861.84$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Sharks | 19c | 839.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.65 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 21c | 822.14$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.16 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sharks | 21c | 756$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 70c | 599.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Sharks | 26c | 525.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed NIP | 73c | 443.51$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked NIP | 67c | 424.46$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NIP | 72c | 397.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Sharks | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 29c | 378.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 21c | 374.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed Sharks | 18c | 354.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Sharks | 30c | 326.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Sharks | 35c | 316.71$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sharks | 28c | 307.23$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed Sharks | 35c | 298.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 18c | 272.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked NIP | 76c | 258.63$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 27c | 245.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Sharks | 30c | 239.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 75c | 204.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b48…73e2backed Sharks | 32c | 154.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…a35abacked Sharks | 31c | 136.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…340fbacked NIP | 79c | 132.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed NIP | 79c | 123.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 65c | 105.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sharks | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed NIP | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Sharks | 35c | 99.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0317backed NIP | 79c | 97.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed NIP | 80c | 94.94$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed NIP | 65c | 90.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Sharks | 33c | 87.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sharks | 23c | 78.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Sharks | 22c | 78.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed NIP | 67c | 75.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked NIP | 67c | 74.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sharks | 34c | 70.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Sharks | 20c | 68.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Sharks | 26c | 59.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Sharks | 34c | 57.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed NIP | 63c | 50.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed Sharks | 29c | 49.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed NIP | 66c | 49.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked NIP | 66c | 48.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed NIP | 68c | 43.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed NIP | 80c | 35.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed NIP | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…ff7cbacked NIP | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…572cbacked NIP | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb63…f6a4backed NIP | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed NIP | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsNIP won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.