Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton: Peter Makk vs Roan Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53e087499f9dabcd374d918f721e2dc618bd602244ba9f5bbd16e95bd701498
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peter Makkof Peter Makk, Roan Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Roan Jones | 3c | 8,201$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Roan Jones | 24c | 1,187$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.77 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Peter Makk | 72c | 763.25$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Peter Makk | 69c | 661.16$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Roan Jones | 3c | 453.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Peter Makk | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Roan Jones | 26c | 392.79$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Roan Jones | 9c | 248.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Peter Makk | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Peter Makk | 73c | 185.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0f79backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…6735backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcd…e73fbacked Roan Jones | 27c | 178.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f85…f9f5backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Roan Jones | 28c | 178.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Peter Makk | 72c | 119.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Roan Jones | 14c | 104.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Roan Jones | 11c | 98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Peter Makk | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Roan Jones | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Peter Makk | 72c | 67.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Peter Makk | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Peter Makk | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Peter Makk | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Peter Makk | 72c | 33.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Peter Makk | 70c | 27.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Peter Makk | 72c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.