CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf571f902cdfec690b9b663522e7627e77aaed639406ecc4e7542826d7bdd3607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 3,759$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…375bbacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 2,355$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.41 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 1,586$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.04 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Johnny Speeds | 45c | 1,268$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.83 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 910$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.2 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…83b8backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 139$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 132.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 128.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 65.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 39.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 27.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.