CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8b0d0ddf6dbd617c3abe6b2074df06aad0c066db4b3757c1051bf1d1fda41e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Johnny Speeds | 48c | 1,358$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.86 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Johnny Speeds | 63c | 637.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 536.75$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Johnny Speeds | 74c | 407.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.36 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 366$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Nuclear TigeRES | 27c | 336.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 33c | 320.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 319.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 271.08$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 195$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Johnny Speeds | 58c | 175.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 172.81$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…3f2cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 52c | 164.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 135.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…d11fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 12c | 116.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 115$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Johnny Speeds | 75c | 104.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 101.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…6f9cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 100.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 94.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…8368backed Johnny Speeds | 74c | 93.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 78.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 53c | 74.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 68.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 63.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 31c | 63.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 60.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 25c | 53.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…1df9backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 46.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Johnny Speeds | 77c | 44.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Johnny Speeds | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 34c | 31.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Johnny Speeds | 67c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf533…5cadbacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Johnny Speeds | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.