CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mindshock (BO3) - DraculaN Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5893d9249b34bbb00276e87e02f7021d3e0ad1d252262da6ed33aaddfb00758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- aimclubof aimclub, mindshock
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked aimclub | 56c | 4,305$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.45 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked mindshock | 37c | 1,932$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed aimclub | 69c | 1,603$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.17 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed mindshock | 38c | 1,326$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.59 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed mindshock | 36c | 1,050$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked aimclub | 55c | 835.47$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.54 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed mindshock | 45c | 573.33$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed mindshock | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed mindshock | 43c | 476.54$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed mindshock | 45c | 362$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.9 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked aimclub | 55c | 244.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed mindshock | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked mindshock | 45c | 215.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked mindshock | 44c | 203.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed aimclub | 53c | 114.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed mindshock | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed mindshock | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed mindshock | 44c | 68.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed mindshock | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed mindshock | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed mindshock | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked mindshock | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed aimclub | 45c | 22.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mindshock (BO3) - DraculaN Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs mindshock - Map 1 Winnermindshock won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.