NHL · resolved market
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Colorado Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58fbe7f7c443727a0eae2242dd4332d3f1c281fd81e7d1ffe97e190c204e567
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Chicago Wolves, Colorado Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Colorado Eagles | 68c | 562.68$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.63 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Wolves | 25c | 471.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Eagles | 63c | 240.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc9…cda3backed Chicago Wolves | 28c | 183.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Chicago Wolves | 36c | 162.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 153.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.53 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Chicago Wolves | 41c | 145.12$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Wolves | 35c | 123.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Wolves | 25c | 108.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Colorado Eagles | 57c | 106.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Chicago Wolves | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Colorado Eagles | 65c | 93.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Chicago Wolves | 38c | 82.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Colorado Eagles | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Colorado Eagles | 59c | 71.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Colorado Eagles | 39c | 67.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago Wolves | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Colorado Eagles | 66c | 47.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Wolves | 72c | 47.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Eagles | 59c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Colorado Eagles | 72c | 35.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Colorado Eagles | 76c | 34.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Chicago Wolves | 35c | 34.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Colorado Eagles | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Chicago Wolves | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…0a49backed Chicago Wolves | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72d…33f4backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375a…19f6backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Colorado Eagles | 62c | 27.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Chicago Wolves | 42c | 27.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Chicago Wolves | 42c | 26.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Eagles | 73c | 25.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Colorado Eagles | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Colorado Eagles | 74c | 21.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…ed51backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6953…85b8backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…1fd2backed Colorado Eagles | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a0…22a4backed Colorado Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20f…2523backed Chicago Wolves | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Colorado Eagles | 66c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.