South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c542125cbd14e4bdda11fac56e8536d9ec60f1748b021a94b4436aa7ad0f26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 1c | 4,514$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 169 | 60.9%103 W · 66 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 1,174$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.99 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 993.87$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 707.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.67 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 71c | 631.42$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.31 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 408.21$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 66c | 314.33$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…8bb7backed Yes | 30c | 100.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef4…a780backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…b6aebacked Yes | 64c | 44.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 42.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 30.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 25.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 23.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 71c | 22.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…d81cbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 71c | 14.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-12-03?No won
- Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-12-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.