Tennis · resolved market
ITF San Diego: Paola Lopez vs Katherine Hui
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63e3f5bb5a078bd7533210c90d27d6bb4bed2bb75667d497d3a89d8a4bb6a51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katherine Huiof Paola Lopez, Katherine Hui
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Katherine Hui | 72c | 12,292$8,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.41 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Paola Lopez | 25c | 9,795$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.5 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Paola Lopez | 29c | 2,595$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.67 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Paola Lopez | 33c | 1,706$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Katherine Hui | 75c | 1,520$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.61 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Paola Lopez | 30c | 983.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Katherine Hui | 68c | 977.7$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.56 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Katherine Hui | 78c | 726.36$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Paola Lopez | 23c | 653.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.46 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paola Lopez | 30c | 575.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.45 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Paola Lopez | 16c | 206.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Katherine Hui | 75c | 189$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Paola Lopez | 36c | 182$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Katherine Hui | 79c | 175.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paola Lopez | 41c | 163.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Katherine Hui | 75c | 131$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Paola Lopez | 21c | 95.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 19.6%42 W · 172 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katherine Hui | 78c | 82.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Katherine Hui | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Katherine Hui | 79c | 63.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Katherine Hui | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Paola Lopez | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Paola Lopez | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Paola Lopez | 31c | 56.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Katherine Hui | 66c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Katherine Hui | 75c | 53.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Katherine Hui | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Katherine Hui | 75c | 49.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Katherine Hui | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Katherine Hui | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Katherine Hui | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Katherine Hui | 77c | 37.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Katherine Hui | 63c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Katherine Hui | 79c | 29.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Katherine Hui | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Katherine Hui | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Paola Lopez | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Paola Lopez | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Katherine Hui | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Katherine Hui | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Katherine Hui | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Katherine Hui | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Katherine Hui | 79c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Katherine Hui | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.