CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6b5a26f09bac27823efd18bc22d5e465d3a3add8f2831f188e720d13ecfb295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed largadosypelados | 71c | 1,005$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed largadosypelados | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed largadosypelados | 64c | 888.71$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fake do Biru | 37c | 624.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.42 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked largadosypelados | 56c | 531.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Fake do Biru | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 421.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 399.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked largadosypelados | 57c | 372.59$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.38 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked largadosypelados | 8c | 363.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked largadosypelados | 23c | 246.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed largadosypelados | 41c | 216.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed largadosypelados | 8c | 177.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…5cfbbacked largadosypelados | 53c | 136.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked largadosypelados | 40c | 128.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed largadosypelados | 63c | 116.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 103.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked largadosypelados | 58c | 102.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed largadosypelados | 48c | 67.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked largadosypelados | 43c | 65.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked largadosypelados | 65c | 62.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed largadosypelados | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Fake do Biru | 47c | 49.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed largadosypelados | 60c | 45.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed largadosypelados | 61c | 44.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked largadosypelados | 42c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 41.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Fake do Biru | 29c | 41.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked largadosypelados | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Fake do Biru | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 35.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked largadosypelados | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Fake do Biru | 41c | 32.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked largadosypelados | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa718…baf1backed largadosypelados | 56c | 25.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Fake do Biru | 44c | 23.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked largadosypelados | 64c | 16.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 WinnerFake do Biru won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.