CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34d571f545e50cde6fb1d46ab47a9ca5230f10f4c423709dca3e952cb8724a94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Fake do Biru, largadosypelados
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 1,020$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.39 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked largadosypelados | 68c | 883.78$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed largadosypelados | 66c | 480.51$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed largadosypelados | 66c | 456.54$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.01 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 374.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked largadosypelados | 63c | 329.29$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.01 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fake do Biru | 32c | 261.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked largadosypelados | 72c | 235.76$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.92 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed largadosypelados | 9c | 209.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 203.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 158.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked largadosypelados | 68c | 133.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked largadosypelados | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed largadosypelados | 48c | 127$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Fake do Biru | 25c | 93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 83.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 73c | 81.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked largadosypelados | 62c | 73.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…0a78backed largadosypelados | 64c | 70.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked largadosypelados | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed largadosypelados | 48c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…617fbacked largadosypelados | 54c | 44.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 38.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x569a…843cbacked Fake do Biru | 38c | 31.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed largadosypelados | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed largadosypelados | 68c | 17.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winnerlargadosypelados won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.