Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf700a312f17ddb256cde1012f678678e14821f9d037d3df9cff8222c3086fb6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 10,000$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.89 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed FURIA Esports | 35c | 8,634$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.96 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 949.74$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.81 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FURIA Esports | 37c | 541.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 35c | 426.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.54 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports | 36c | 411.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 364.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.01 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 289$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 253.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 189.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 183.63$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 154.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked FURIA Esports | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 575 | 50.6%291 W · 284 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked FURIA Esports | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 35.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed FURIA Esports | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked 100 Thieves | 59c | 22.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.