Premier League · resolved market
Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf774ff3138d8b60f77654753b81e9728997fdc1944d7fcb98f8720ce2ec5cdff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86da…6428backed Over | 50c | 34,624$17,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,312.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 33,088$16,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,559.91 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 1,099$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.61 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,063$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.98 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 487.33$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.38 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 28c | 281.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 4c | 273$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 50c | 223.34$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.67 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Under | 66c | 110.5$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 93.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 50c | 68.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 68.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 64.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 48c | 59.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 40.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…9682backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 50c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 49c | 32.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 50c | 27.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Leyton Orient FC (-1.5)Walsall FC won
- Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Walsall FC vs. Leyton Orient FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.