Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7acd42f6174d2c5efaed38f266e6bff4ae71da19103479bde77ee0e0f896358
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nix Teamof Nix Team, Stray Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1c6…d2d6backed Nix Team | 69c | 421.91$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -9.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Stray Team | 55c | 418.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 410 | 55.1%226 W · 184 L | +39.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Stray Team | 60c | 358$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…5ad4backed Nix Team | 64c | 354.97$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Stray Team | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Nix Team | 51c | 212.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Stray Team | 49c | 199.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nix Team | 57c | 142.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…5819backed Nix Team | 69c | 141.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Stray Team | 37c | 136.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Stray Team | 20c | 128.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…3facbacked Stray Team | 44c | 112.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nix Team | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…f7a9backed Stray Team | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed Stray Team | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Nix Team | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…f376backed Stray Team | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Nix Team | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Stray Team | 70c | 94.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.44 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stray Team | 36c | 93.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bf…af51backed Stray Team | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Stray Team | 33c | 84.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 402 | 42.3%170 W · 232 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…9bbebacked Nix Team | 38c | 82.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed Nix Team | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Stray Team | 38c | 76.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50a…0887backed Stray Team | 33c | 61.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nix Team | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Nix Team | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Nix Team | 55c | 54.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nix Team | 70c | 51.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked Nix Team | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Stray Team | 41c | 45.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Stray Team | 31c | 43.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Nix Team | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…ca5fbacked Stray Team | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nix Team | 52c | 34.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Nix Team | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…fe2fbacked Nix Team | 57c | 29.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Stray Team | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Nix Team | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Nix Team | 59c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nix Team | 52c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…623cbacked Stray Team | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc8…df60backed Stray Team | 61c | 20.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Nix Team | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Nix Team | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 1 WinnerStray Team won
- Dota 2: Nix Team vs Stray Team - Game 2 WinnerNix Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.