Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7be5e90a0d618afe02ee645e3c2b964d3d2577defcf7f210faf936f33fd9ab8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 31c | 3,035$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.57 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,145$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 1,102$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,057$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.76 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 963.09$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 871.45$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 25c | 559.29$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.09 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 30c | 254.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 34c | 177.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…3b71backed Yes | 25c | 157.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 134.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 76c | 130.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 75c | 96.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 36c | 51.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 51.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 47.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 67c | 40.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 37.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 37.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 68c | 36.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 32.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…9481backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 65c | 27.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 27.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 22.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 69c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will FC Ballkani vs. Bohemian FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Ballkani win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.