MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf836dfcec91b33bff5970b2fd82fcbacc727e8c8a133faaaab7f3d792f6a5e6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Kiwoom Heroes, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lotte Giants | 65c | 445.66$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.48 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kiwoom Heroes | 33c | 440.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kiwoom Heroes | 30c | 394$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 13c | 169.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 128.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 108.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Kiwoom Heroes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 35c | 99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed Lotte Giants | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Kiwoom Heroes | 23c | 91.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…cdc5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 28c | 76.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…e4f6backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 72.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 32c | 65.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lotte Giants | 68c | 64.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea50…667dbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Lotte Giants | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Lotte Giants | 79c | 32.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed Kiwoom Heroes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lotte Giants | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Lotte Giants | 60c | 29.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Lotte Giants | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Lotte Giants | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.