Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Etcheverry vs Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf839f08db0d5c86872ea3db222c049f021553eee7ed61f71c1d706016d376c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Rodionov | 76c | 1,189$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Etcheverry | 62c | 322.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Rodionov | 12c | 303.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Rodionov | 40c | 263.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Etcheverry | 78c | 238.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Etcheverry | 47c | 155.13$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Etcheverry | 62c | 103.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Rodionov | 20c | 71.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Etcheverry | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 790 | 52.9%418 W · 372 L | +24.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…9517backed Etcheverry | 78c | 50.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Etcheverry | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Rodionov | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Etcheverry | 64c | 44.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Etcheverry | 54c | 40.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Etcheverry | 76c | 40.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Etcheverry | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Etcheverry | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Etcheverry | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Etcheverry | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Etcheverry | 79c | 20.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Etcheverry vs Rodionovthis page
- Etcheverry vs. Rodionov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jurij RodionovTomas Etcheverry won
- Set 1 Winner: Etcheverry vs RodionovEtcheverry won
- Set Handicap: Etcheverry (-1.5) vs Rodionov (+1.5)Etcheverry won
- Tomas Etcheverry vs. Jurij Rodionov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.