Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8709fd16fb0fbc8df457315ca898411980ed43c7636a5c66a6cc24840e623fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof BIG, E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 50c | 5,720$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.06 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BIG | 50c | 1,670$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 1,530$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.7 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed BIG | 48c | 1,307$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.12 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed BIG | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BIG | 50c | 946.94$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.47 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked BIG | 49c | 858.77$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked BIG | 50c | 728$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked BIG | 50c | 630$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 420 | 42.4%178 W · 242 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…d36dbacked BIG | 50c | 564$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 480$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked BIG | 49c | 450.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.52 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked BIG | 49c | 428$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.72 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 323.85$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…1774backed BIG | 48c | 291.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked BIG | 48c | 216.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BIG | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed BIG | 49c | 146.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 548 | 29.6%162 W · 386 L | -36.3wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 146.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed BIG | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…b44fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 95.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed BIG | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed BIG | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed BIG | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…f413backed BIG | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked BIG | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 395 | 55.2%218 W · 177 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked BIG | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ABIG won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 WinnerBIG won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.