Lol · resolved market
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a81f6479b44a368cfe8823cf7295227ce9ce8f2dccb3f26c30013fdb4295587
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe700…dc26backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 1c | 6,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked BIG | 78c | 2,399$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.56 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 21c | 2,053$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.46 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 14c | 1,721$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 29c | 1,250$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 29c | 1,094$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed BIG | 71c | 818$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked BIG | 70c | 703.74$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed BIG | 70c | 703.73$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 29c | 690.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed BIG | 71c | 557.14$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 199 | 59.8%119 W · 80 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed BIG | 70c | 501.66$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 627 | 43.9%275 W · 352 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked BIG | 71c | 426.68$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed BIG | 73c | 405.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 17c | 385.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 19c | 306.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…2a25backed BIG | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 964 | 52.7%508 W · 456 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed BIG | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 364 | 52.7%192 W · 172 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 33c | 114.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 26c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 29c | 85.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 30c | 77.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BIG | 74c | 68.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed BIG | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…1734backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked BIG | 66c | 57.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 33c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked BIG | 71c | 55.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed BIG | 78c | 48.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 28c | 42.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…866bbacked BIG | 73c | 39.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BIG | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…1da4backed BIG | 72c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed BIG | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group ABIG won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.