Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Kristina Mladenovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8984b4a40c7d59f8f03f991e5e6734f3f1b46deecd70c6f52546516912c0f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiphanie Lemaitreof Tiphanie Lemaitre, Kristina Mladenovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a02…205abacked Kristina Mladenovic | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 15c | 8,827$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 27c | 3,879$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.73 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…2cc5backed Kristina Mladenovic | 41c | 2,682$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kristina Mladenovic | 14c | 1,628$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 75c | 1,113$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 589.11$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Kristina Mladenovic | 19c | 316.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 269.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 18c | 267.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kristina Mladenovic | 47c | 242.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 240$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 227.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kristina Mladenovic | 49c | 222.59$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 51c | 219$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 21c | 213.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Kristina Mladenovic | 35c | 198.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Kristina Mladenovic | 21c | 175$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kristina Mladenovic | 20c | 133$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Kristina Mladenovic | 30c | 128$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Kristina Mladenovic | 18c | 122.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 76c | 93.39$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 18c | 86.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kristina Mladenovic | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kristina Mladenovic | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 25c | 52.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Kristina Mladenovic | 22c | 51.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Kristina Mladenovic | 25c | 48.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Kristina Mladenovic | 48c | 47.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Tiphanie Lemaitre | 61c | 44.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kristina Mladenovic | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 78c | 35.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristina Mladenovic | 79c | 29.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Tiphanie Lemaitre | 79c | 19.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.