Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Nicolas Oliveira
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bf373d70023436af1bf84c3ffe08a697e1edc16316b1f07662008ff447e04c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santosof Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, Nicolas Oliveira
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 44c | 11,816$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.96 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 57c | 7,976$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.16 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 61c | 3,000$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.68 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 57c | 817.31$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.12 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 50c | 520$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nicolas Oliveira | 37c | 467.16$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 63c | 301$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Nicolas Oliveira | 58c | 232.16$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.65 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nicolas Oliveira | 45c | 140.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nicolas Oliveira | 34c | 132.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Nicolas Oliveira | 9c | 125.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…cd62backed Nicolas Oliveira | 66c | 124.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 63c | 93.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 52c | 75.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 60c | 52.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nicolas Oliveira | 37c | 39.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 58c | 35.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Nicolas Oliveira | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 60c | 31.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolas Oliveira | 51c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Nicolas Oliveira | 45c | 27.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nicolas Oliveira | 38c | 25.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 66c | 20.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nicolas Oliveira | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.