Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Bryce Nakashima vs Kenta Miyoshi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f9e77a7d5e6e40156d67c61ef644a49a67bb7a796810cda7beec666530440b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryce Nakashimaof Bryce Nakashima, Kenta Miyoshi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Kenta Miyoshi | 60c | 4,616$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.82 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 39c | 3,398$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 39c | 3,255$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kenta Miyoshi | 64c | 1,388$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Bryce Nakashima | 50c | 1,161$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.4 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 59c | 847.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 530.73$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.54 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 524.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.07 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Bryce Nakashima | 41c | 520.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 73c | 478.52$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.22 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 29c | 424.21$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Bryce Nakashima | 39c | 291.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.89 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bryce Nakashima | 38c | 267.01$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Kenta Miyoshi | 77c | 252.26$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…23c4backed Kenta Miyoshi | 47c | 211.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 64c | 152$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 150.19$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 52c | 149$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 59c | 138.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bryce Nakashima | 61c | 119.34$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 46c | 116$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Bryce Nakashima | 46c | 102.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kenta Miyoshi | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bryce Nakashima | 20c | 76.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kenta Miyoshi | 58c | 75.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bryce Nakashima | 31c | 73.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Kenta Miyoshi | 79c | 53.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bryce Nakashima | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Bryce Nakashima | 58c | 51.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 69c | 38.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Kenta Miyoshi | 55c | 35.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Kenta Miyoshi | 78c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Kenta Miyoshi | 61c | 21.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…524bbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.