Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf906fa8bdcfe9e88853c1c7330be28f454abe641392eece19a97f28afd6467a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.94 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 4,255$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.92 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 3,237$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.83 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 26c | 2,610$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 2,314$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.7 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 1,909$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.33 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 74c | 1,060$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 1,036$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.69 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 15c | 837.53$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 27c | 822.01$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.87 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 74c | 809.82$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.89 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes | 27c | 766.85$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…719abacked Yes | 13c | 667.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 426$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 25c | 374.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 25c | 373.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 5c | 329.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Yes | 26c | 299.91$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 275.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 74c | 270$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Yes | 9c | 258.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 19c | 208.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 5c | 202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes | 25c | 147$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed Yes | 17c | 120.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 75c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…7f05backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.2wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…e10cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 74c | 37.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed No | 74c | 29.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.36per pick | 55cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked No | 75c | 25.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-07-23?Yes won
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.