Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf948396cc095b67fa5a38792ee78e824b09dda6be4724ad80635eefe079c6d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yunnan Yukun FCof Chengdu Rongcheng FC, Yunnan Yukun FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 55c | 1,201$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.36 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 55c | 651.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 503.66$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 367.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.16 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 254.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 29c | 254.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 28c | 245.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +7.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 34c | 232.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.26 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…18c6backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 202.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 172.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 16c | 163.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…3871backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 161.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 161.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…930ebacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 161.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 158.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 148.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 13c | 138.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 123.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 43c | 116.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 47c | 86.32$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 57c | 82.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 42c | 80.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 13c | 76.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 58c | 70.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…6886backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 46c | 52.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 53c | 48.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 66c | 44.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 52c | 42.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 53c | 38.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 56c | 37.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 55c | 35.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 32.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 45c | 25.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 55c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Yunnan Yukun FC | 58c | 23.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC | 44c | 23.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yunnan Yukun FC | 71c | 18.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)this page
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-2.5)Yunnan Yukun FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.